ANALYSIS OF FOREIGN TOURIST DYNAMICS ON THE PERFORMANCE OF LOCAL ORIGINAL INCOME OF BALI PROVINCE IN THE ERA OF SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY (2019-2024)

Nur Zaskia Andriani Safira; Safila Fidrianata; Eva Hany Fanida; Revienda Anita Fitrie

doi:10.61992/jiem.v8i2.353

Nur Zaskia Andriani Safira
Safila Fidrianata Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Politik, Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Eva Hany Fanida Eva Hany Fanida
Revienda Anita Fitrie Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Politik, Universitas Negeri Surabaya

DOI: https://doi.org/10.61992/jiem.v8i2.353

Keywords: Foreign Tourists , Pad Bali, Tourism Recovery , Covid-19, Regional Fiscal

Abstract

The tourism sector is the backbone of the Bali Province economy , contributing significantly to Regional Original Income (PAD). This study aims to analyze the relationship between the dynamics of foreign tourist visits and the performance of Bali Province's PAD in the 2019-2024 period , which includes three distinct phases : pre-pandemic stability , extreme contraction due to the COVID-19 pandemic , and sustained recovery . The study uses a descriptive qualitative approach with case study methods and thematic analysis . Secondary data were obtained from the Statistics Indonesia (BPS) of Bali Province , the Directorate General of Taxes (DJPb) of the Ministry of Finance of Bali Province , the Directorate General of Taxes (DJPPK) of the Ministry of Finance , and accredited national journals . The results show that the dynamics of foreign tourist visits have a consistent and direct relationship with the performance of Bali's PAD, which operates primarily through local taxes from the accommodation and food and beverage sectors . The analysis of the three temporal phases reveals an asymmetric pattern , namely that the contraction of tourism due to the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in very significant fiscal pressure . However , the recovery that has taken place since 2022 has proven to exceed pre-pandemic levels in 2024. This study offers novelty with a three- phase temporal analysis approach that allows for the contextual identification of tourism transmission mechanisms to PAD . The results can provide an empirical basis for recommendations for diversifying the PAD base as a long - term regional fiscal vulnerability mitigation strategy .

References

Anggreni, N. W., dan Budiasih, N. G. A. N. (2023). Pengaruh jumlah kunjungan wisatawan domestik dan mancanegara terhadap pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) Provinsi Bali tahun 2019–2022. Jurnal Kajian dan Terapan Pariwisata, 4(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.53356/diparojs.v4i1.82
Ariani, C., Rokimah, N. J., dan Asmara, K. J. (2024). Pengaruh kunjungan dan rata-rata lama tinggal wisatawan terhadap pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) di Provinsi Bali tahun 2015–2022. Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan, 10(19), 215–225. https://jurnal.peneliti.net/index.php/JIWP/article/view/8296
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Bali. (2025). Number of foreign visitor to Bali dan Indonesia, 1969–2024. https://bali.bps.go.id/en/statistics-table/1/MjgjMQ==/banyaknya-wisatawan-mancanegara-ke-bali-dan-indonesia--1969-2023.html
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Bali. (2026). Ringkasan anggaran pendapatan dan belanja daerah (APBD) Provinsi Bali. https://bali.bps.go.id/id/statistics-table/2/OTYjMg==/ringkasan-anggaran-pendapatan-dan-belanja-daerah--apbd--provinsi-bali.html
Braun, V., dan Clarke, V. (2006). Using thematic analysis in psychology. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 3(2), 77–101. https://doi.org/10.1191/1478088706qp063oa
Direktorat Jenderal Perimbangan Keuangan. (2021). Musrenbang RKPD Semesta Berencana Provinsi Bali Tahun 2022, menekankan pembangunan sesuai dengan prioritas Bali. Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia. https://djpk.kemenkeu.go.id/?p=19888
Gandhi, A. S. (2024). Pengaruh sektor pariwisata dan pendapatan asli daerah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Bali tahun 2016–2021. Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ), 5(2), 8534–8545. https://journal.yrpipku.com/index.php/msej/article/view/5675
Kapang, S., Rorong, I. P., dan Maramis, M. (2019). Analisis pengaruh sektor pariwisata terhadap pendapatan asli daerah (PAD) Kota Manado. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 19(04), 84–94. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/index.php/jbie/article/view/26566
Purwahita, A. A. R. M., Wardhana, P. B. W., Ardiasa, I. K., dan Winia, I. M. (2021). Dampak COVID-19 terhadap pariwisata Bali ditinjau dari sektor sosial, ekonomi, dan lingkungan: Suatu tinjauan pustaka. Jurnal Kajian dan Terapan Pariwisata, 1(2), 68–80. https://doi.org/10.53356/diparojs.v1i2.29
Shanti, N. P. K., dan Nasikh. (2023). Pengaruh kunjungan wisatawan, jumlah objek wisata, dan lama menginap dalam pengembangan ekonomi lokal Provinsi Bali. Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis, 5(4), 1507–1515. https://doi.org/10.37034/infeb.v5i4.787
Suastika, I. G. Y., dan Yasa, I. N. M. (2017). Pengaruh jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, lama tinggal wisatawan dan tingkat hunian hotel terhadap pendapatan asli daerah dan kesejahteraan masyarakat pada kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Bali. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, 6(7), 1332–1362. https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/eep/article/view/29349
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 1 Tahun 2022 tentang Hubungan Keuangan antara Pemerintah Pusat dan Pemerintahan Daerah. (2022). Lembaran Negara Republik Indonesia Tahun 2022 Nomor 4, Tambahan Lembaran Negara Republik Indonesia Nomor 6757.
World Tourism Organization. (2020). Supporting jobs and economies through travel and tourism: A call for action to mitigate the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 and accelerate recovery. https://webunwto.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2020-04/COVID19_Recommendations_English_1.pdf
Yanti, N. N. L. A., Aziz, I. S. A., dan Wulandari, I. G. A. A. (2021). Pengaruh jumlah kunjungan wisatawan dan lamanya menginap wisatawan terhadap pendapatan asli daerah di Kota Denpasar tahun 2011–2019. Warmadewa Economic Development Journal (WEDJ), 4(2), 60–67. https://doi.org/10.22225/wedj.4.2.2021.60-67